De grootste diefstal uit de geschiedenis van de mens: inflatie

Ben
bepaald geen fan van Bill Bonner, echter het volgende artikel van
zijn hand bevat (althans zeker voor mij) aardige gezichtspunten op het
financiële beleid in de VS als instrument om dollars bij te kunnen
drukken en daarmee de waarde van de dollar te verminderen. Zo zou de
huidige dollar volgens Bonner in vergelijking met die van 1971 nog
maar 3 dollarcent waard zijn……

Eén en
ander is het gevolg van de ‘nieuwe dollar’ die in 1971 onder ‘tricky dick’ Nixon werd
geïntroduceerd en waarbij de Fed de macht kreeg om (fiks) dollars
bij te drukken en daarmee de inflatie te voeden…….. Het grootste
deel van het volk in de VS begreep niet waarom hun geld destijds zo
snel in waarde verminderde en gaven de schuld aan de arabieren
(vanwege de hoge olieprijs), echter de energiecrisis van de 70 er
jaren bracht alleen de prijs terug op het niveau van voor de grote
dollar diefstal in 1971* >> de OPEC besloot minder
olie te produceren, waarop de prijzen stegen naar het niveau van
voor 1971…… Zie in het artikel hieronder hoe de inflatie zelfs met dubbele cijfers groeide…… (het is een studie waard om te zien wat het effect van de nieuwe dollar en de infaltie in de VS was op
de Nederlandse economie en die van de ons omringende landen….)

Inflatie
is zoals Bonner zegt inderdaad een instrument om mensen nog meer
belasting te laten betalen, waar de winsten daarvan in de VS vooral
naar de superrijken stromen…… Terwijl 50% van de onderlaag in de VS sinds 1999 30% armer is geworden, stijgen de inkomens van de welgestelden jaar op jaar……

Vergeet bij dit alles niet dat ook in de EU, ofwel bij de Europese Centrale Bank (ECB) de geldpersen al jaren overuren maken……. Een zaak die in feite de ‘EU maatschappij’ steeds verder ontwricht…….

Lees het
artikel van Bonner, overigens onderdeel uit een soort ‘dagboek’, waar
je de link naar het vervolg van het hieronder opgenomen artikel, onder dat artikel terugvindt. Mocht je het interessant vinden dit ‘dagboek’ te volgen, neem dan
het adres van Bonner & Partners of van Money and Markets over en
houdt de boel in de gaten, dit artikel nam ik over van Money and Markets:

Bonner:
The Feds and the Biggest Money Heist In History

Bonner: The Feds and the Biggest Money Heist In History

Posted
by Bonner &
Partners
| Jan 28, 2020 | News

Inflation
is always and everywhere a rip-off. 

Bill Bonner

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND —
The nice thing about inflation, at least from the feds’ point of
view, is that it doesn’t leave fingerprints.

Today’s dollar, for
example, is worth only three cents of the pre-1971 dollar. But who
dunnit? Who stole 97 cents out of every dollar?



New-Buck Scam

People thought the
switch to a new buck in 1971 was just a “technical” move. Still
do. But there was a big difference. The old dollar was a killjoy. The
feds just couldn’t have much fun with it. But the new one was like
an inflatable sex toy — it would go along with anything.

And when the first
wave of consumer price inflation hit in the ’70s, few people
understood what had happened. They thought the Arabs had pulled a
fast one. But as we saw last week (catch up here and here),
the First Oil Shock only returned the real price to where it had been
before the feds’ funny-money printing began.

Investors didn’t
notice their pockets were being picked either. In new dollars, the
Dow barely moved throughout the ’70s. But it lost 92% of its real
value.

And still today, only
you… and we… seem to realize how the Federal Reserve’s money
printing and ultralow interest rate policies (from 2009 to 2015) put
$20-some trillion into the pockets of the richest people in the
country.

Most people got
nothing from it. And relatively, the poor got poorer as the rich got
richer. 

The bottom 50% of the population are actually 30% poorer
today than they were in 1999 — even using the feds’ phony
inflation calculator.

But does anyone blame
the real culprits? Nope. They blame the Mexicans and the Chinese. 

Do
they vote for someone who pledges to end inflation? Or someone who
calls for more of it?

It doesn’t matter
whether the inflation goes into the capital markets or the consumer
economy… it works the same way, like a thief in the night. And now
underway is probably the biggest heist in history…

Like
a Street Mugging

Milton Friedman was
wrong about inflation. It is “always and everywhere a monetary
phenomenon,” said he. But that misses the point of it. A shooting
star is a phenomenon. So is irritable bowel syndrome; nobody is sure
what causes it.

But inflation is no
more a “phenomenon” than a street mugging; it is done for a
reason, to transfer wealth from some people to other people. It’s a
way for the feds — and their clients, cronies, and hangers-on —
to get more than taxpayers are willing to give them.

If they tried to
support their boondoggles and jackass programs by direct taxation
alone, there would soon be mobs gathered in the Capitol, with pitch
bubbling and rails at-the-ready.

But inflation?

Here at the Diary,
we guess about a great number of things — always trying to connect
the dots. We’ve been at it for so long, we’ve probably been wrong
about most everything. We’ll get to the rest in due course.

But one thing we’re
probably not wrong about is inflation. And when the Fed announced at
its December 2015 meeting that it would stop inflating and
“normalize” its monetary policy, we knew it was BS. Why?

With its ultralow
interest rates and its quantitative
easing (QE)
programs, the Fed created a hothouse atmosphere. The
QE program alone gave some $3.6 trillion in new money to big
investors.

It was as if a very
rich person in a small town bid on all the houses that came up for
sale. 

Prices rose. Everyone thought he had gotten richer. But take
away the reckless buyer, and the market would quickly adjust to
normal supply and demand pressures. Prices would fall back to
“normal.”

Falling prices would
cause the “wealth effect” to reverse into a “negative wealth
effect.” The economy would go into recession.

Keep
the Heat On

Either you keep
feeding warm air into the hothouse… or the orchids die. Greenspan,
Bernanke, Yellen, and now Powell — have all kept the heat on.

The last Fed chief to
turn off the heat was the recently
deceased Paul Volcker.
He saw the “Inflate-or-Die” trap. To
escape it in 1980, he raised the Fed’s key rate to 20%, cut off the
hot air, and opened the windows, causing the worst U.S. recession
since the Great Depression.

Naturally,
politicians, economists, and the press howled and whined. A mob even
burned Volcker in effigy on the Capitol steps. But inflation quickly
fell, from nearly 14% in 1980 to only 3.2% in 1983.

Years before, another
great Fed chief, William McChesney Martin, explained why a good
central banker is more likely to be branded a villain than a hero:

In the field
of monetary and credit policy, precautionary action to prevent
inflationary excesses is bound to have some onerous effects… Those
who have the task of making such policy don’t expect you to
applaud.

Tough
Love

It’s been 40 years
since Volcker’s tough love. Since then U.S. federal debt has gone
from under $1 trillion to $23 trillion.

The Dow, too, went
from under 1,000 to over 29,000. And the people willing to support an
honest central banker — traditional fiscal conservatives and Ronald
Reagan — have disappeared.

As for the old
conservatives, they went AWOL when Republicans realized that, in a
funny-money world, “deficits don’t matter.”

William McChesney
Martin died in 1998. (He was replaced at the Fed in 1970 when he
resisted the new-money plotters.) Paul Volcker died late last year.

Today, Fed jefes are
willing to go along with the gag, and are described by the popular
press as “saving the world” (Greenspan), or “heroes” with
“the courage to act” (Bernanke).

And the current U.S.
president is not worried about curbing inflation. He wants more of
it. Here’s the commander in chief commenting on the Fed’s brief
fling with prudence:

It was a
killer when they raised the rate. It was just a big mistake. And they
admit to it. They admit to it. I was right. I don’t wanna be right,
but I was right.

More to come…

Regards,

Bill

This article
was originally published by Bonner & Partners. You can learn more
about Bill and Bill Bonner’s Diary right
here
.

Zie ook het vervolg van dit artikel: ‘Bonner: How Paper Money Became the Means for Modern Inflation

===============================

*  In Wikipedia spreekt men bij de eerste oliecrisis in 1973 over ‘een politieke actie van de arabieren gericht tegen het westen’, terwijl de olieprijs in dollars werd en wordt weergegeven, ofwel de arabieren kregen inderdaad veel minder voor hun olie, daar de inflatie destijds zelfs met dubbele cijfers groeide, zie het artikel hierboven….. Wikipedia……

Door de inflatie van de ‘petrodollar’ (ofwel de olieprijs in
dollars), was de prijs van olie op een veel lager niveau gekomen, waarop de
arabieren het westen maar vooral de VS ‘de bel aanbonden’ en begonnen met de vermindering van de olieproductie, zodat de prijs omhoog ging. De olieprijs werd overigens vanaf 1971 in dollars weergegeven. (al werd ook voor die tijd vooral naar de VS gekeken wat betreft de olieprijs, daar het land eerst de grootste olieleverancier was en later tot de grootste olieproducerende landen bleef behoren)

Fed: ‘financiële methadon’ zal de grootste recessie ooit veroorzaken

Gerald
Celente, publicist van Trends Journal gaf vorige week
vrijdag een interview, waarin hij de wereld
waarschuwt voor het ongelimiteerd geld bijdrukken en het verlagen van
de rente, zaken die grote bedrijven met veel schulden en
aandelenhandelaren ten goede zullen komen…….

Ondanks
dat het goed is voor de aandelenmarkten en bedrijven met grote
schulden, die zo kunnen blijven uitbreiden, is de keerzijde een enorme schuldbubbel in de VS, een schuldenlast van houd je vast: 250 biljoen
dollar!! Vandaar dat Celente dan ook de vergelijking met methadon
maakt (eigenlijk bedoelt hij heroïne): ze blijven het lichaam van
een stier volspuiten, zodat deze blijft rennen, maar de economieën
elders worden er niet mee gestimuleerd en we zien nu dan ook een globale
economische afzwakking…..

Celente
wijst voorts op de waarschuwingen van het IMF en de Wereldbank voor een
recessie door deze enorme schuld….. Miljardair en oprichter van Bridgewater, Ray
Dalio, verklaarde onlangs dat hij nu als Celente vooral inzet op
goud…. Ofwel de directeur van het grootste hedgefonds ter wereld
maakt zich zorgen over een grote depressie (en tegelijkertijd uiteraard een recessie)…….

Mensen
zien wat er gebeurt terwijl de centrale banken geld blijven
bijdrukken en de rentes verlagen, waar de Fed e.e.a. niet langer
quantative easing* (QE) wil noemen (waar het natuurlijk wel QE is,
immers het ‘gereedschap’ daarvoor wordt wel degelijk gebruikt..)….

Verder
stelt Celente terecht dat veel mensen die niets meer bezitten en die
alle vertrouwen in regering en financiële markten zijn verloren in
opstand komen, daarbij noemde hij o.a. Libanon, jammer want daar zijn
de CIA en de Mossad bezig de boel op te stoken, zoals de CIA dat ook
pleegt te doen in Iran, Venezuela en Bolivia, plus alle andere landen waar de VS
de verkiezingen manipuleert, of mensen opstookt in verzet te gaan……. Daarbij worden uiteraard wapens en explosieven geleverd**, als dat niet
werkt kan de VS altijd nog een staatsgreep forceren en als ook dat
niet lukt, begint de VS op basis van een berg leugens een illegale
oorlog tegen zo’n land……..

Ook
noemt Celente Bolivia en verdomd alweer is de opstand daar ingegeven
door de CIA, immers het gaat veel te goed met Bolivia en dat is te
danken aan de opnieuw gekozen socialistische president Evo Morales, kijk daar
heeft de VS de schurft aan, een links land, waar het ook nog eens
goed gaat met de economie……***

Voorts
heeft Celente wel gelijk dat het water het volk aan de lippen staat
in landen als: Ecuador, Chili, Columbia, Spanje en Hong Kong (al heb
ik ook bij die laatste zware bedenkingen, immers er wordt daar in de
eerste plaats niet gedemonstreerd omdat men het het financieel slecht
vergaat en je kan er ook daar donder opzeggen dat de CIA een dikke
vinger in de pap heeft, immers men verwacht dat China uiteindelijk
zal ingrijpen en zo kan men China afschilderen als een nog demonischer staat…) Dit terwijl
de VS de ene illegale oorlog na de andere begint…..

Vergeet bij dit alles niet dat figuren als Celente een zekere politieke macht hebben en deze macht misbruiken om zaken zo te sturen dat zij er voordeel bij hebben….. (niet alleen in de VS, maar ook in het buitenland…)

Het volgende artikel komt van het rechtse Money and Markets en werd geschreven door J.T. Crowe:

Celente:
Fed’s ‘Monetary Methadone’ Causing ‘The Greatest Depression’

Posted
by 
JT
Crowe
 | Nov
5, 2019
 EconomyNews

Celente: Fed’s ‘Monetary Methadone’ Causing ‘The Greatest Depression’

Trends
Journal publisher Gerald Celente gave a rather stark interview Friday
in which he said central banks around the world are causing “The
Greatest Depression,” and that we’ve already passed Stage 1 as
unrest builds in more and more countries.

Celente, speaking
with Kitco News
,
first commented on the Federal Reserve’s latest interest rate cut,
the third since July — and third since 2008 — essentially calling
it a big mistake for everyone but stock traders and companies with
massive corporate debt.

It’s
positive for the equity markets and the huge debt that corporations
are taking in to keep expanding. But on the negative end, they’re
just building more debt into the already over $250 trillion debt
bubble,” he said. “So what it is, I call it ‘monetary
methadone;’ they’re just shooting in more money to keep the
addicted bull running. It’s not boosting economies around the world
— we’re looking at a global slowdown.

The
IMF
,
the World Bank, one after another are 
warning
of a recession.”

Celente
then pointed out that billionaire Bridgewater founder 
Ray
Dalio
 has
been following what Trends Journal has written about the beginning of
the gold bull run, and how he came out a couple of weeks later and
said he is bullish on gold.

This
is the head of the largest hedge fund in the world and then just a
few weeks ago, he said now he’s 
worried
about a Great Depression,

Celente said.

So
the people see it and it’s just artificially being boosted by
central banks injecting more cheap money, lowering interest rates,
and now we have the Federal Reserve — 
we’re
not going to call it ‘quantitative easing,’
 we’re
going to make up another story.

We’re
pumping in $60 billion a month to buy Treasurys — oh and by the
way, $120 billion a day into the repo markets.”

Celente
went on to say that what the Fed is doing is “only temporary” and
the crash won’t be held off forever.

You’re
seeing housing sales go back up, mortgage refis go back up because
the money is cheap,” he said. “But the earnings aren’t there,
the debt levels for the consumers are getting heavier and heavier, so
it’s artificially propping it up just like it did since the panic
of ’08. It hasn’t filtered back to society, it’s only gone to
the 1%. And I’m not making that number up. You have three people in
the United States, (Jeff) Bezos, (Warren) Buffett and (Bill) Gates,
who have more money than half of America’s population.

And
then you go around the world and, according to OxFam, what do they
have? Twenty-six people have 
more
dough than half the world’s population
 combined.
So, no, it’s not working. It’s only making it worse.”

So
where should investors go to protect their wealth?

I
call it the guns, gold and the getaway plan,” Celente quipped after
saying he’s no financial adviser. “Speaking for only myself, gold
is the No. 1 investment, and
 
I’ve
been saying that since I began buying gold in 1970.”

Celente
said he’s long on both physical gold and stocks, including the
“IRA, the GLD ETFs.”

I
have some silver, but gold is my priority,” he added. “I have
two-thirds gold.”

The
host then mentioned uprisings in a number of countries around the
world and asked what it all means, and Celente said it’s the
beginning of “The Greatest Depression.”

It’s
signalling the people have had it. Again, the money’s gone to the
1%. When people lose everything and have nothing left to lose, they
lose it, and they’re losing it,” Celente said. “This is part of
The Greatest Depression, it’s Stage 1, it’s already happened.
Millions of people taking to the street, protesting that they don’t
have enough money to live while they’re getting higher taxes,
costing more for everyday living. So they’ve had it and this is
extremely important: All these movements don’t have leaders.
Whether it’s Hong Kong, whether it’s Spain, whether it’s
Lebanon, what’s going on in Iraq with the massive demonstrations,
Ecuador, Chile, Bolivia, Columbia, one after another, no leaders
because the people feel it. And this is part of the Greatest
Depression.

When
we say it’s going to get worse, when The Great Depression hit,
there were 2 billion people on the planet. We’ve added 5.5 billion
more. They’re out of work, they’re living in poverty, violence
all around them, corruption. So this thing is exploding.”

These
five charts prove that the stock market is on the cusp of crashing by
70%, maybe more.
 
(let op, dergelijke artikelen willen je niet zelden strikken voor de aankoop van bepaalde aandelen of andere financiële producten, Money and Markets staat er bomvol mee)

=============================

*   Zie: ‘Lagarde (top ECB): “Je kan beter een baan hebben dan spaargeld”‘ (met een apart artikel over Quantative Easing [QE])

**  En niet zelden levert de VS scherpschutters om op het protesterende volk te schieten, om zo de schuld in de schoenen van het bewuste bewind te schuiven, het bewind dat men weg wil hebben, ofwel een false flag operatie…..

*** Zie: ‘Bolivia: bewijs op tafel dat VS aanstuurt op een coup

Lagarde (top ECB): “Je kan beter een baan hebben dan spaargeld”

Lagarde
heeft afgelopen vrijdag de baan van topgraaier Draghi als president van de 
Europese Centrale Bank (ECB) overgenomen, ook al heeft zij bepaald geen financieel economische opleiding gevolgd. Alle hoop van een aantal centrale banken in de EU
op een ander beleid dan dat van Draghi werd vrijwel onmiddellijk de
grond ingeboord. Vreemd overigens die verwachting, immers Lagarde is ook verantwoordelijk voor de gore spelletjes die het IMF sinds 2011 heeft gespeeld, in dat jaar werd ze directeur van deze inhumane neoliberale organisatie….. 

Overigens,  Lagarde is in feite een veroordeelde misdadiger, die haar straf van een jaar gevangenisstraf ontliep daar er anders een crisis in het IMF zou zijn ontstaan, dit nadat haar voorganger en verkrachter Strrauss-Kahn het veld moest ruimen….. Ongelofelijk daarom ook dat de ondemocratische EU Lagarde koos als topgraaier van de ECB…….

Lagarde nam haar functie bij de ECB op o.a. door Nederland en Duitsland te manen hun overschot
te investeren, voorts begon Lagarde te zeuren over onderlinge ‘solidariteit’, ofwel steek ook je kont diep in de schulden. Wat betreft het ‘beleid’ van Draghi: Lagarde gaat gewoon door op de doodlopende weg die Draghi eerder heeft bewandeld: obligaties
van landen opkopen en het verlagen van de rente tot nog verder onder
de – 0,5%, die nu al ingevoerd wordt (zo ongeveer de laatste actie van Draghi), ofwel een rente die nog verder onder het
‘nulpunt’ zal dalen, anders gezegd: negatieve rente (waarmee geld lenen zelfs geld zou moeten opleveren, al zal dat ‘natuurlijk niet’ voor het gewone volk opgaan…)….

Dat
daardoor een flink aantal mensen in de problemen komt interesseert
autocraat Lagarde net zo min als haar voorganger Draghi, schijt aan de pensioenen die mensen hun
werkende leven lang hebben opgebouwd, dokken en niet zeuren……. Ook de kleine spaarders kunnen wat Lagarde betreft doodvallen, ze durfde keihard te zeggen
dat je beter een baan kan hebben dan geld op de bank….. Moet je
nagaan: de misdadige dweil Lagarde gaat een inkomen verdienen van rond de 4 ton op
jaarbasis is en dat is exclusief een gigantische onkostenvergoeding……

Taaie
stof mensen, 
het hieronder opgenomen artikel van Tyler Durden, maar zeer de moeite van het lezen waard (het artikel werd eerder gepubliceerd op Zero Hedge). Daaronder een verduidelijking over QE ofwel Quantitative Easing, een artikel
van Investopedia, QE of het waanzinnige beleid van Draghi om zoveel
mogelijk obligaties van EU landen op te kopen (ook werden schulden van banken in Zuid-Europa opgekocht, waardoor de Grieken de regie in eigen land zijn kwijtgeraakt en nog steeds diep in  de ellende zitten…)…. 

De ECB heeft
overigens al aangekondigd, na de stop van één jaar, opnieuw bonussen ter waarde van
20 miljard euro op te willen kopen, ook al is het allesbehalve
duidelijk of dit ook maar iets heeft opgeleverd voor de EU, behalve
dan dat de drukpersen voor papiergeld overuren maakten en ons geld in
feite steeds minder waard werd ook al merken we daar nu nog weinig
van….. (dat gebeurt als de volgende crisis zich aandient en zoals je weet die komt eraan, de vraag is wanneer precies)

Lagarde:
“We Should Be Happier To Have A Job Than To Have Savings”

by Tyler
Durden

Mon,
11/04/2019 – 06:12

Any
hopes that the replacement of Mario Draghi, who on Halloween left the
ECB more polarized than ever, as the core European nations revolted
against the Italian’s profligately loose monetary policy in an
unprecedented public 
demonstration
of discord 
within
the European Central Bank…


with the ECB’s new head, former IMF Director and 
convicted
criminal
,
Christine Lagarde would result in some easing of tensions, were
promptly crushed when Lagarde picked up where Draghi left
off, 
calling
on Germany and the Netherlands to use their budget surpluses to fund
investments that would help stimulate the economy, 
in
a sharp rebuke that will not win the former French finance minister
any friends in fiscally conservative Germany.

In
an appeal to Germany’s sense of solidarity, and in hopes that
Germany’s memory of hyperinflation has faded enough, Lagarde said
that there “isn’t enough solidarity” in the single
currency area, adding: “We share a currency, but we don’t share
much budgetary policy for now.”

“Those
that have the room for manoeuvre, those that have a budget surplus,
that’s to say Germany, the Netherlands, why not use that budget
surplus and invest in infrastructure? Why not invest in education?
Why not invest in innovation, to allow for a better rebalancing?”
asked Lagarde, blaming Germany and the Netherlands for living within
their means, and demanding they should no longer do so, 
just
because most other Europeans decided to pull a page out of the
American playbook, and live exorbitantly 
outside of
their means.

Lagarde’s
direct attempt at shaming Europe’s fiscal conservatives was nothing
short of shocking: normally ECB officials avoid naming individual
countries in public statements, because their mandate is to act in
the interests of the eurozone as a whole. But when Lagarde made her
speech she had not yet officially taken over at the Frankfurt-based
institution — she succeeds Mario Draghi on Friday.

We
somehow doubt this “explanation” will fly with the German
population, which sees itself as funding peripheral Europe’s
profligate ways for the past decade, even as it benefited from the
weak euro to supercharge the German export machine.

And
just to guarantee she is as resented by Germany as was Mario Draghi,
she said that the German and Dutch governments, which last year had
budget surpluses of 2% and 1.5% respectively, “
have
not really made the necessary efforts,” 
she
added, referring to establishment’s increasing desperation to force
anyone with an even remotely normal balance sheet to sink to the same
level as their insolvent peers.

As
for the punchline, Lagarde defended the negative interest rates
introduced by her predecessor Draghi, 
arguing
that people should be happier to have a job than a higher savings
rate. 
This,
as a reminder, comes at a time when virtually everyone who
is 
not named
“Draghi” or “Lagarde” thinks that 
negative
rates are catastrophic
,
and assure doom for the Eurozone.

When
asked about the impact of negative rates on savers, Ms Lagarde said
on Thursday that they should think about how much worse the situation
would be if the ECB had not cut rates as much as it had.

Would
we not be in a situation today with much higher unemployment and a
far lower growth rate, and isn’t it true that ultimately 
we
have done the right thing to act in favor of jobs and of growth
rather than the protection of savers?” 
she
asked.

The
unemployment rate in the 19-country eurozone has fallen from 12 per
cent in 2013 to 8.2 per cent last year. GDP growth in the single
currency zone was 1.8 per cent last year and the ECB expects it to
slow to 1.1 per cent this year.

Finally,
for those curious if the authorities will 
stop
at anything 
to
destroy the currency and send rates to even more negative levels if
it means kicking the can on a global, populist uprising, by just a
few months, weeks or days, here is the answer: “
We
should be happier to have a job than to have our savings
protected,” 
said
Lagarde.


“I
think that it is in this spirit that monetary policy has been decided
by my predecessors and I think they made quite a beneficial choice.”


Let’s
check back on that statement in a year, shall we?

Of
course, there is no magic solution here: all the ECB has done is kick
the can, and ensure that the next crisis will be even worse than if
some semblance of a price-clearing reality had been allowed under
Draghi’s 8 years. Instead, the ECB’s balance sheet exploded to €4.7
trillion euros, as the world’s largest central
bank-cum-hedge fund 
bought every bond in sight in hopes
of keeping asset prices artificially elevated.

In
October, the ECB, less than a year after it ended QE
*
in a failed attempt to “renormalize” monetary policy,
announced it would cut rates to a record -0.5% and unveiled
open-ended plans to start buying €20bn of bonds starting in
November.

Needless
to say, the comments by the former French finance minister confirm
market expectations that she is likely to pursue similar monetary
policy strategy to Draghi who flooded the financial system with cheap
money to fight slowing growth and inflation while calling on
governments to do more through fiscal policy to take the burden off
the central bank.


In
the end, the consequences of Draghi’s monetary policy, as we
explained before, 
will
be catastrophic
,
but the former Goldman partner was wise enough to get off the
European Titanic before it hit the iceberg. It will now be Lagarde’s
task to save as many people as possible once the ship starts sinking,
and judging by her remarks, she is perfectly fine of not only going
down with the ship, but also being blamed for the collision.


Tags:
Business
Finance

===============================



*
Hieronder de uitleg over QE of: Quantitative Easing, geschreven door Jim
Chappelow en gepubliceerd op Investopedia (zie ook het eerste
staatje in het artikel van Durden):



Quantitative
Easing (QE)

REVIEWED
BY 
JIM
CHAPPELOW
Updated
Sep 6, 2019

What
Is Quantitative Easing? (QE)

Quantitative
easing is an unconventional 
monetary
policy
 in
which a central bank purchases 
government
securities
 or
other securities from the market in order to increase the money
supply and encourage lending and investment. When short-term
interest rates are at or approaching zero, normal 
open
market operations
,
which target interest rates, are no longer effective, so instead a
central bank can target specified amounts of assets to purchase.
Quantitative easing increases the 
money
supply
 by
purchasing assets with newly created bank reserves in order to
provide banks with more 
liquidity.

KEY
TAKEAWAYS

  • Quantitative
    easing (QE) is the name for a strategy that a central bank can use
    to increase the domestic money supply.

  • QE
    is usually used when interest rates are already near 0 percent and
    can be focused on the purchase of government bonds from banks.

  • QE
    programs were widely used following the 2008 financial crisis,
    although some central banks, like the Bank of Japan, had been using
    QE for several years prior to the financial crisis.

Understanding
Quantitative Easing

To
execute quantitative easing, 
central
banks
 increase
the supply of money by buying 
government
bonds
 and
other securities. Increasing the supply of money is similar to
increasing supply of any other asset—it lowers the cost of money.
A lower cost of money means 
interest
rates
 are
lower and banks can lend with easier terms. This strategy is used
when interest rates approach zero, at which point central banks have
fewer tools to influence economic growth.

If
quantitative easing itself loses effectiveness, 
fiscal
policy
 (government
spending) may be used to further expand the money supply. In effect,
quantitative easing can even blur the line between monetary and
fiscal policy, if the assets purchased consist of long term
government bonds that are being issued to finance counter-cyclical
deficit spending.

The
Drawbacks of Quantitative Easing

If
central banks increase the money supply, it can cause 
inflation.
In a worst-case scenario, the central bank may cause inflation
through QE without economic growth, causing a period of
so-called 
stagflation.
Although most central banks are created by their countries’
government and are involved in some regulatory oversight, central
banks can’t force the banks to increase lending or force borrowers
to seek loans and invest. If the increased money supply does not
work its way through the banks and into the economy, QE may not be
effective except as a tool to facilitate deficit spending (i.e.
fiscal policy).

Another
potentially negative consequence is that quantitative easing
can 
devalue the
domestic currency. For manufacturers, this may help stimulate growth
because exported goods would be cheaper in the global market.
However, a falling currency value makes imports more expensive,
which can increase the cost of production and consumer price levels.

Is
Quantitative Easing Effective?

During
the QE programs conducted by the 
U.S.
Federal Reserve
 starting
in 2008, the Fed increased the money supply by $4 trillion. This
means that the asset side of the 
Fed’s
balance sheet
 grew
significantly as it purchased bonds, mortgages, and other assets.
The Fed’s liabilities, primarily 
reserves at
U.S. banks, grew by the same amount. The goal was that the banks
would lend and invest those reserves to stimulate growth.

However,
as you can see in the following chart, banks held onto much of that
money as excess reserves. At its peak, U.S. banks held $2.7 trillion
in excess reserves, which was an unexpected outcome for the Fed’s QE
program.

(voor de staat die hier hoort te staan, zie het origineel)

Most
economists believe that the Fed’s QE program helped rescue the U.S.
(and world) economy following the 2008 financial crisis. However, the
magnitude of its role in the subsequent recovery is more debated and
impossible to quantify. Other central banks have attempted to deploy
QE 
to
fight recession
 and deflation with
similarly cloudy results.

Following
the 
Asian
Financial Crisis of 1997
,
Japan fell into an economic 
recession.
Beginning in 2000, the 
Bank
of Japan (BoJ)
 began
an aggressive QE program to curb deflation and to stimulate the
economy. The Bank of Japan moved from buying Japanese government
bonds to buying private debt and stocks. The QE campaign failed to
meet its goals. Ironically, the BoJ governors had concluded that “QE
was not effective” just months before launching their program
in 2000. 
Between
1995 and 2007
,
Japanese GDP fell from $5.45 trillion to $4.52 trillion in nominal
terms, despite the BoJ’s efforts.

The Swiss
National Bank (SNB)
 also
employed a QE strategy following the 2008 financial crisis.
Eventually, the SNB owned assets nearly equal to annual economic
output for the entire country, which made the SNB’s version of QE
the largest in the world as a ratio to 
GDP.
Although economic growth has been positive during the subsequent
recovery, how much the SNB’s QE program contributed to that recovery
is uncertain. For example, although it was the largest QE program in
the world as a ratio to GDP and interest rates were pushed below 0%,
the SNB was still unable to achieve its inflation targets.

In
August 2016, the 
Bank
of England (BoE)
 announced
that it would launch an additional QE program to help alleviate
concerns over “
Brexit.”
The plan was for the BoE to buy 
60
billion pounds
 of
government bonds and 10 billion pounds in corporate debt. If
successful, the plan should have kept interest rates from rising in
the U.K. and stimulated business investment and employment.


From
August 2016 through June 2018, the 
Office
for National Statistics
 in
the U.K. reported that gross fixed 
capital
formation
 (a
measure of business investment) was growing at an average quarterly
rate of 0.4 percent, which was lower than the average from 2009
through 2018. The challenge for economists is to detect whether
growth would have been worse without quantitative easing.

Peter Schiff (econoom) waarschuwt voor het waanzinnige beleid van de Fed: ‘failliet’ van VS dreigt

Een econoom die bekend staat in de VS, t.w. Peter Schiff, heeft de vloer aangeveegd met het beleid van
de Fed: rentedalingen en ‘quantitative easing’ (QE) doorvoeren (het laatste betekent grote hoeveelheden
geld bijdrukken, zonder toegevoegde tegenwaarde)….

De
rentedalingen zorgen voor het op spanning houden van de over de
toeren draaiende huizenmarkt en veroorzaakt een beursbubbel, die
beiden vroeg of laat tot een ramp leiden bij het imploderen van de
prijzen, het beleid dat de Fed voert, leidt daar onherroepelijk vanzelf
toe……

Volgens
Chiff zal de VS het niet makkelijk krijgen bij volgende pogingen,
daar China en Rusland, eerder geneigd schulden van de VS op te
kopen, wel uitkijken dat nog langer te doen, immers de
waardepapieren die ze bezitten zullen alleen maar minder waard
worden….. De VS heeft nog één geluk en dat is de petrodollar,
vandaar ook dat de CIA een opstand organiseerde in Libië daar
Khadaffi al vergevorderde plannen had om een gouden dinar als
betaalmiddel voor olietransacties te introduceren, een munt die in
tegenstelling tot de dollar een tegenwaarde in goud zou hebben, waar de dollar gebakken lucht vertegenwoordigt…..*

Lullig
genoeg is één ding zeker: als het financieel misgaat in de VS hebben we ook hier ‘de failliete poppen’ aan het dansen……

Peter
Schiff on the Economy’s Fate: ‘We OD on Stimulus and We Destroy
the Dollar’

Posted
by 
JT
Crowe
 | Sep
23, 2019
 EconomyNews

Peter Schiff on the Economy’s Fate: ‘We OD on Stimulus and We Destroy the Dollar’

Economist
Peter Schiff has been sounding the alarm of late regarding the
Federal Reserve’s policies, and he thinks the central bank will
take rates back to zero and restart quantitative easing — and that
still will only 
further
inflate the bubble
 before
a massive collapse.

The
Fed successfully pulled the U.S. economy out of the Great Recession
by dropping interest rates all the way zero, where they remained for
almost a decade, and with three rounds of QE, which has reflated the
real estate bubble, blown up a bond bubble and helped pump up the
stock market to new record highs.

Schiff, appearing
on the Tom Woods Show last week, admitted he didn’t think the Fed
would be able to rescue the economy last time around because he
underestimated how the world would so quickly accept the previously
outrageous 
QE —
pumping new money into the economy through bond purchases — but
things are different this time around.

Economist
Peter Schiff has been sounding the alarm of late regarding the
Federal Reserve’s policies, and he thinks the central bank will
take rates back to zero and restart quantitative easing — and that
still will only 
further
inflate the bubble
 before
a massive collapse.

The
Fed successfully pulled the U.S. economy out of the Great Recession
by dropping interest rates all the way zero, where they remained for
almost a decade, and with three rounds of QE, which has reflated the
real estate bubble, blown up a bond bubble and helped pump up the
stock market to new record highs.

Schiff, appearing
on the Tom Woods Show last week, admitted he didn’t think the Fed
would be able to rescue the economy last time around because he
underestimated how the world would so quickly accept the previously
outrageous 
QE —
pumping new money into the economy through bond purchases — but
things are different this time around.

I
don’t think we’re going to have a whole lot of help from those
other countries who are already trying to minimize their exposure to
the dollar now. I don’t think they’re really going to step it up
in order to enable QE4.”

Another
problem facing the Fed this time around are monstrous deficits
already in excess of $1 trillion compared to the $250-$300 billion
deficits the country had at the time under President George W. Bush.

Is
there any way the Federal Reserve can monetize $3 or $4 trillion per
year of government debt without the dollar falling and without
igniting a bigger increase in inflation?” Schiff said. “If the
Fed tried to inject enough stimulus into this economy to try to
reflate an even bigger bubble than the ones we already have, I just
think the economy dies of an overdose. We overdose on stimulus and we
destroy the dollar. And then we have massive inflation.

But
what would be required to stop it would be so politically damaging in
the short-run that they may opt not to stop it, which is even worse.
It just happens a little bit later.”

======================================

* Khadaffi had voor de invoering van die dinar een enorme goudvoorraad aangelegd, die ‘vreemd genoeg’ verdwenen was nadat de VS en andere NAVO-lidstaten Libië in 2011 een jaar of 70 terug in de tijd hebben gebombardeerd, tja waar zou dat goud zijn???? (waarschijnlijk verdeeld tussen de VS, Groot-Brittannië en Frankrijk (met wat fooien voor de terreurgroepen die door het westen werden bewapend, getraind en van rollend oorlogstuig voorzien)….. Wellicht dat ook nog een paar NAVO-lidstaten wat goud hebben ontvangen als beloning voor de steun aan deze zoveelste illegale oorlog van de VS tegen een soeverein land…. Voor het ingrijpen was Libië het rijkste land van Afrika waar het niemand aan iets ontbrak en dat veelal gratis…… Nu behoort Libië tot de armste landen van Afrika, waar het de bevolking aan van alles ontbreekt en is het land in chaos gedompeld, een land waar nu zelfs openbare slavenmarkten worden gehouden, alles met dank aan de VS en een aantal andere NAVO-lidstaten, waaronder Nederland (ja, ook met ons belastinggeld!)…..