Veteranen
verenigd in de VIPS (Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity) hebben VS president Trump de waarschuwing gestuurd, vooral géén oorlog met Iran aan te gaan.
Ze
wijzen daarbij o.a. op de desastreuze illegale oorlog die de VS in 2003 tegen
Irak begon (een oorlog die in feite nog steeds voortduurt en aan meer
dan 1,5 miljoen mensen het leven heeft gekost…..). Terwijl de zogenaamde
bewijzen voor een voortdurend nucleair programma van Iran nog veel zwakker in
elkaar steken, dan de ‘bewijzen’ die de VS destijds aan de wereld toonde aangaande Iraakse massavernietigingswapens…….*
De
bedenkers van die oorlog, Cheney, Rumsfeld en Bush (hoewel de laatste min of meer een als marionet fungeerde) en andere oorlogsmisdadigers,
stelden later dat er een vergissing was gemaakt wat betreft de
inlichtingen…….. Daar wijzen deze ‘veteranen’ in hun brief aan Trump nu ook op: het was een
willens en wetens in elkaar gedraaid lulverhaal om Irak aan te kunnen
vallen (en zo controle te krijgen over de olie- en gasvelden in Irak…)…..
De
informatie die nu voorhanden is over het atoomprogramma van Iran, komt
zelfs uit de koker van de CIA en is al eens als waardeloos
beoordeeld. Het gaat hier om dezelfde informatie die Netanyahu
gebruikte toen hij stelde dat Iran ondanks de Iran-deal toch nog
steeds op weg was een kernwapen te fabriceren……..
Lees
de brief die deze ‘veteranen’ aan Trump hebben gestuurd en geeft het
door! Nog steeds doet men (in de politiek en de media, ook in Nederland) maar al te
graag of er voldoende reden was om Irak (‘van Saddam Hoessein’) aan te vallen, zelfs na 1,5
miljoen doden en een land dat grotendeels in puin ligt…….. Tja, als deze media toegeven dat ze helemaal fout zaten, zouden ze in feite toegeven ‘fake news’ (‘nepnieuws’) te hebben gebracht, zoals daadwerkelijk gebeurde (en dat op zeer grote schaal!)…….
Overigens
heeft de Trump administratie aangeboden te praten met Iran, maar wel
met van te voren door Iran te nemen acties, waarop Iran uiteraard ‘de
boot heeft afgehouden..’**
VIPS
to Trump: Intel on Iran Could be CATASTROPHIC
August
1, 2018
As
drums beat again for war — this time on Iran—-the VIPS’ warning
is again being disregarded as it was before the Iraq debacle
and this time VIPS fear the consequences will be all-caps
CATASTROPHIC.
August
1, 2018
MEMORANDUM
FOR: The President
FROM: Veteran
Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS)
SUBJECT: Intelligence
on Iran Fails the Smell Test
Mr.
President:
As
the George W. Bush administration revved up to attack Iraq 15 years
ago, we could see no compelling reason for war. We decided,
though, to give President Bush the benefit of the doubt on the chance
he had been sandbagged by Vice President Dick Cheney and others.
We chose to allow for the possibility that he actually believed the
“intelligence” that Colin Powell presented to the UN as providing
“irrefutable and undeniable” proof of WMD in Iraq and a “sinister
nexus” between Saddam Hussein and al Qaeda.
To
us in VIPS it was clear, however, that the “intelligence” Powell
adduced was bogus. Thus, that same afternoon (Feb. 5, 2003) we
prepared and sent to President Bush a Memorandum like this one,
urging him to seek counsel beyond the “circle of those advisers
clearly bent on a war for which we see no compelling reason and from
which we believe the unintended consequences are likely to be
catastrophic.”
We
take no satisfaction at having been correct — though disregarded —
in predicting the political and humanitarian disaster in Iraq. Most
Americans have been told the intelligence was “mistaken.” It was
not; it was out-and-out fraud, in which, sadly, some of our former
colleagues took part.
Five
years after Powell’s speech, the Chair of the Senate Intelligence
Committee minced few words in announcing the main bipartisan finding
of a five-year investigation. He said:
“In making the case for war, the Administration repeatedly
presented intelligence as fact when in reality it was
unsubstantiated, contradicted, or even non-existent. As a
result, the American people were led to believe that the threat from
Iraq was much greater than actually existed.”
Iran
Now in Gunsight
As
drums beat again for a military attack — this time on Iran, we
Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity and other experienced,
objective analysts are, by all appearances, being disregarded again.
And, this time, we fear the consequences will be all-caps
CATASTROPHIC — in comparison with the catastrophe of Iraq.
In
memoranda to you over the past year and a half we have pointed
out that
(1) Iran’s current support for international terrorism is far short
of what it was decades ago; and (2) that you are being played by
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s claims about Iran’ they are
based on intelligence exposed as fraudulent several years ago.
Tellingly, Netanyahu waited for your new national security adviser to
be in place for three weeks before performing his April 30 slide
show alleging that Iran has a covert nuclear weapons program.
On the chance that our analysis of Netanyahu’s show-and-tell failed
to reach you, please know that the Israeli prime minister was
recycling information from proven forgeries, which we reported in a
Memorandum to you early last spring.
If
our Memorandum of May
7 fell through some cracks in the West Wing, here are its main
findings:
The
evidence displayed by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu
on April 30 in what he called his “Iranian atomic
archive” showed blatant signs of fabrication. That evidence is
linked to documents presented by the Bush Administration more than a
decade earlier as “proof” of a covert Iran nuclear weapons
program. Those documents were clearly fabricated, as well.
In
our May 7, 2018 Memorandum we also asserted: “We can prove that the
actual documents originally came not from Iran but from Israel.
Moreover, the documents were never authenticated by the CIA or the
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).”
Iran:
Almost Targeted in 2008
There
was a close brush with war with Iran a decade ago. Bush and
Cheney, in close consultation with Israel, were planning to attack
Iran in 2008, their last year in office. Fortunately, an honest
National Intelligence Estimate of November 2007 concluded that Iran
had stopped working on a nuclear weapon in 2003, and that key
judgment was made public. Abruptly, that NIE stuck an iron rod
into the wheels of the juggernaut then speeding downhill to war.
The
key judgment that Iran had stopped work on a nuclear weapon was the
result of the painstakingly deliberative process that was customarily
used, back in the day, to produce an NIE. After that process —
which took a full year — the Nov. 2007 NIE was was approved
unanimously by all U.S. intelligence agencies.
(In
other words, it was decidedly NOT a rump “assessment” like the
one cobbled together in a couple of weeks by “handpicked”
analysts from three selected, agenda-laden agencies regarding Russian
meddling. We refer, of course, to the evidence-impoverished and
deceptively labeled “Intelligence Community Assessment” that the
directors of the FBI, CIA, and NSA gave you on January 6, 2017. The
Defense Intelligence Agency and the State Department intelligence
bureau were among the other 13 agencies excluded from that
“Intelligence Community Assessment.”)
As
for the Bush/Cheney plans for attacking Iran in 2008, President
George W. Bush, in his autobiography, Decision Points,
recorded his chagrin at what he called the NIE’s “eye-popping”
intelligence finding debunking the conventional wisdom that Iran was
on the verge of getting a nuclear weapon. Bush added
plaintively, “How could I possibly explain using the military to
destroy the nuclear facilities of a country the intelligence
community said had no active nuclear weapons program?”
Mr.
President, we do not know whether a fresh National Intelligence
Estimate has been produced on Iran and nuclear weapons — or, if one
has been produced, whether it is as honest as the NIE of Nov. 2007,
which helped prevent the launch of another unnecessary war the
following year. We stand on our record. In sum, if you
believe that there is credible evidence that Iran has an active
secret nuclear weapons program, we believe you have been misled.
And if you base decisions on misleading “intelligence” on Iran,
the inevitable result will be a great deal worse than the Bush/Cheney
debacle in Iraq.
For
the Steering Group
Veteran
Intelligence Professionals for Sanity
William
Binney, former NSA Technical Director for World Geopolitical &
Military Analysis; Co-founder of NSA’s Signals Intelligence
Automation Research Center (ret.)
Sen.
Richard H. Black, 13th District of Virginia; Colonel US Army
(ret.); former Chief, Criminal Law Division, Office of the Judge
Advocate General, Pentagon (associate VIPS)
Kathleen
Christison, Senior Analyst on Middle East, CIA (ret.)
Bogdan
Dzakovic, former Team Leader of Federal Air Marshals and Red
Team, FAA Security (ret.) (associate VIPS)
Philip
Giraldi, CIA, Operations Officer (ret.)
Larry
C. Johnson, former CIA and State Department
Counter-terrorism officer
Michael
S. Kearns, Captain, Wing Commander, RAAF (ret.); Intelligence
Officer & ex-Master SERE Instructor
Linda
Lewis, WMD preparedness policy analyst, USDA (ret.)
(associate VIPS)
Edward
Loomis, NSA Cryptologic Computer Scientist (ret.)
David
MacMichael, Capt., USMC (ret.); former Senior Estimates
Officer, National Intelligence Council
Ray
McGovern, former US Army Infantry/Intelligence Officer & CIA
analyst; CIA Presidential briefer (ret.)
Elizabeth
Murray, former Deputy National Intelligence Officer for the
Near East, National Intelligence Council & CIA political analyst
(ret.)
Todd
E. Pierce, MAJ, US Army Judge Advocate (ret.)
Gareth
Porter, author/journalist (associate VIPS)
Coleen
Rowley, FBI Special Agent and former Minneapolis Division Legal
Counsel (ret.)
Robert
Wing, former Foreign Service Officer (associate VIPS)
Ann
Wright, Colonel, US Army (ret.); Foreign Service Officer
(resigned in opposition to the war on Iraq)
Tags: Colin
Powell Donald
Trump Iran VIPS
* Waar Hans Blix, destijds hoofd-wapeninspecteur van de VN, de wereld bij wijze van spreken tot vervelens toe voorhield dat Irak geen massavernietigingswapens had, noch ergens verborgen kon hebben…… In 2004 beschuldigde hij in zijn boek, ‘Disarming Iraq’ de VS volkomen terecht van vals spel…….
** Zie: ‘As US Adds Preconditions, Iran Rejects Offer of Talks‘
Mijn excuus voor de belabberde weergave.
